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Prof. Antoine Guisan

My main focus is on spatial predictive modelling of plant and animal distributions, and the communities they form (see Guisan & Zimmermann 2000, Guisan et al. 2002, Guisan & Thuiller 2005, Guisan et al. 2006, Araujo & Guisan 2006, Guisan & Rahbek 2011, Guisan et al. 2013, Guisan et al. 2014 in the "Publications" page of my group). Besides theoretical and methodological interests in understanding and predicting species distributions, my group is developing models for various applied purposes, such as rare species management, assessing the potential impact of climate change on biodiversity, and anticipating biological invasions. Our lab is also affiliated to the "Laboratory for Conservation Biology" of the University of Lausanne.

The main focal study area for model development is the Swiss Alps of Canton de Vaud, a mountainous landscape near Lausanne, ranging from 400 to 3200 m, also a priority study area for the whole University (see RechAlp plateforme: http://rechalpvd.unil.ch). My group also works at larger scales: Switzerland, Europe, World.

For more detailed on my projects, see the "Research" pages.

Curriculum Vitae

Married, three children

Associate Professor in Ecology, University of Lausanne, 50% in the Faculty of Biology & Medicine, 30% in the Faculty of Geosciences & Environment

2001 -
Assistant Professor in Biogeography and Spatial Ecology, University of Lausanne

1998-2001 -
Permanent position at Swiss Center for Faunal Cartography (CSCF), Neuchâtel (Predictive habitat distribution models, GIS)

1998-1999 -
Postdoc at the Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques (CJB) in Geneva (Plant distribution modelling, climate change, Swiss Alps)

1997 -
Postdoc at Standford University, Center for Conservation Biology (Plant Distribution Modeling

1993-1996 -
PhD from the University of Geneva (Plant distribution modelling, climate change, Swiss Alps)

1996 -
Postgraduate Master in statistics from the University of Neuchâtel (Multivariate analyses of alpine vegetation)

1992 -
Master from the University of Geneva, Master project at FOREL Limnology Institute, in Algal Bioassays

Awards & Recognition

  • Thomson Reuters Honors Australia's Leaders in Research and Innovation
  • Essential Science Indicator, 2nd most cited scientist, ‘Ecology/Environment’, 2015
  • Thompson Reuters, Highly Cited Researchers 2014,‘Ecology/Environment’, 2014
  • Lab Times Ranking, 6th most cited scientist, ‘Plant Science’, 2013
  • Essential Science Indicator, 6th most cited scientist, ‘Ecology/Environment’, 2012
  • Science Watch, 9th most cited scientist, ‘Climate Change’, 2010
  • Science Watch, 12th most cited paper, ‘Ecology/Environment’, 2008
  • Co-recipient, Peace Nobel Prize, Lead Author in IPCC/WGII, 2007
  • Essential Science Indicator, Hot Paper, ‘Ecology/Environment’, 2003


See the ‘Publications’ page on www.unil.ch/ecospat


C=course, P = practicals, S = seminars
Current Teaching

  • Elements of Ecology (C, Bachelor, Semester 2, Faculty of Geosciences & Environment)
  • Plant Biogeography (C, Bachelor, Semester 6, Faculty of Biology & Medicine)
  • Spatial analyses & GIS (C/P, Master BEC, Semester 7)
  • Predictive distribution models (C/P, Master BEC, Semester 8)
  • Responsible of the Interfaculty Seminars in Environment (S; Masters; series of 8-10 seminars, Semester 7 or 8)
  • Organizing the yearly ‘Careers in Conservation Day’ (S, Master+, Semester 7 or 8)

Past Teaching

  • Field camp in Alpine Botany & Plant Biogeography (Master BEC & Faculty of Geoscience & Environment, Semester 8)
  • Interface Vegetation-Soil-Water (IVSE, C/P, Master BEC & Geoscience & Environment Faculty, Semester 8)
  • Responsible of the Module of Botany, 2003-2005
  • Responsible of the Seminars in Conservation Biology (Master BEC, Semester 8)

Science Policy

  • Climate Witness Science Advisory Panel of WWF International
  • Advisory board of the Australian Center of Excellence in Environmental Decisions (CEED)
  • Swiss Representative of the International Association for Ecology (INTECOL)
  • Member of the Plenum (Scientific Board) of the Swiss Biodiversity Forum (SC.NAT)
  • President of Section V (Biology of the Organisms) of the Swiss Academy of Sciences (SC.NAT) between 2002 and 2004
  • Lead and Contributing author to IPCC Assessment Reports in 1996, 2001 and 2007


  • International Biogeography Society (IBS)
  • International Association for Ecology (INTECOL)
  • International Association for Vegetation Science (IAVS)
  • International Association of Landscape Ecology (IALE)
  • International Society for Ecological Modelling (ISEM)
  • Swiss Botanical Society (SBS)

Personnal Focus

My modest engagement for a more sustainable world:

  • I use either public transportations or bike to travel to work (I used to have an electric scooter and an electric bike)
  • My house is equipped with two types of solar panels on the roof, both for heating water (nearly 100% efficiency from April to October) and for producing electricity (5 Kw/h).
  • I pay complementary electricity at higher rate (green program) to support the development of sustainable energy production in my region
  • I use essentially railways and public transportation for most of my professional moves within the country and in Europe

In press |  2016 |  2015 |  2014 |  2013 |  2012 |  2011 |  2010 |  2009 |  2008 |  2007 |  2006 |  2005 |  2004 |  2003 |  2002 |  2001 |  2000 |  1999 |  1998 |  1996 |  1995 |  Thèses (doctorat) | 

In Press
Carvalho S., Gonçalves J., Guisan A., Honrado J., In Press. Systematic site selection for multi-species monitoring networks. Journal of Applied Ecology .
Cheddadi R., Araújo M.B., Maiorano L., Edwards M., Guisan A., Carré M., Chevalier M., Pearman P.B., In Press. Temperature range shifts for three European tree species over the last 10,000 years. Frontiers in Plant Science .
D'Amen M., Mateo R.G., Guisan A., In Press. Species Assemblages, Macroecology, and Global Change. This article is a revision of the 2013 edition by Brian J. McGill. pp. 651-666 in Encyclopedia of Biodiversity (Second Edition). Elsevier Module in Life Science . Elsevier Inc..
D'Amen M., Rahbek C., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., In Press. Spatial predictions at the community level: from current approaches to future frameworks. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society . [DOI] [Pubmed]
Descombes P., Marchon J., Pradervand J.-N., Bilat J., Guisan A., Rasmann S., Pellissier L., In Press. Community-level plant palatability increases with elevation as insect herbivore abundance declines. Journal of Ecology .
Descombes P., Petitpierre B., Morard E., Berthoud M., Guisan A., Vittoz P., In Press. Monitoring and distribution modelling of invasive species along riverine habitats at very high resolution. Biological Invasions .
Descombes P., Pradervand J.-N., Golay J., Guisan A., Pellissier L., In Press. Simulated shifts in trophic niche breadth modulate range loss of alpine butterflies under climate change. Ecography . [DOI]
Descombes P., Vittoz P., Guisan A., Pellissier L., In Press. Uneven rate of plant turnover along elevation in grasslands. Alpine Botany . [DOI]
Honrado J.P., Pereira H.M., Guisan A., In Press. Fostering integration between biodiversity monitoring and modelling. Journal of Applied Ecology .
Liu X., Petitpierre B., Broennimann O., Li X., Guisan A., Li Y., In Press. Realized climatic niches are conserved along maximum temperatures among herpetofaunal invaders. Journal of Biogeography .
Mod H.K., Scherrer D., Luoto M., Guisan A., In Press. What we use is not what we know: environmental predictors in plant distribution models. Journal of Vegetation Science .
Ren G., Mateo R.G., Liu J., Suchan T., Alvarez N., Guisan A., Conti E., Salamin N., In Press. Genetic consequences of Quaternary climatic oscillations in the Himalayas: Primula tibetica as a case study based on restriction site-associated DNA sequencing. New Phytologist . [DOI] [Pubmed]
Stewart L., Alsos I.G., Bay C., Breen A.L., Brochmann C., Boulanger-Lapointe N., Broennimann O., Bültmann H., Klith Bøcher P., Damgaard C. et al., In Press. Regional species richness and genetic diversity of arctic vegetation reflect both past glaciations and current climate. Global Ecology & Biogeography .
Yashiro E., Pinto-Figueroa E., Buri A., Spangenberg J., Adatte T., Niculita-Hirzel H., Guisan A., van der Meer J.R., In Press. Local Environmental Factors Drive Divergent Grassland Soil Bacterial Communities in the Western Swiss Alps. Applied and Environmental Microbiology .
Bidegaray-Batista L., Sánchez-Gracia A., Santulli G., Maiorano L., Guisan A., Vogler A.P., Arnedo M.A., 2016. Imprints of multiple glacial refugia in the Pyrenees revealed by phylogeography and palaeodistribution modelling of an endemic spider. Molecular Ecology 25(9) pp. 2046-2064. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Douda J., Boublík K., Slezák M., Biurrun I., Nociar J., Havrdová A., Doudová J., Aćić S., Brisse H., Brunet J. et al., 2016. Vegetation classification and biogeography of European floodplain forests and alder carrs. Applied Vegetation Science 19(1) pp. 147-163. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Hu J., Broennimann O., Guisan A., Wang B., Huang Y., Jiang J., 2016. Niche conservatism in Gynandropaa frogs on the southeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Scientific Reports 6 p. 32624. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Kirchheimer B., Schinkel C.C., Dellinger A.S., Klatt S., Moser D., Winkler M., Lenoir J., Caccianiga M., Guisan A., Nieto-Lugilde D. et al., 2016. A matter of scale: apparent niche differentiation of diploid and tetraploid plants may depend on extent and grain of analysis. Journal of Biogeography 43(4) pp. 716-726. [DOI] [Pubmed]
Mateo R.G., Broennimann O., Normand S., Petitpierre B., Araújo M.B., Svenning J.C., Baselga A., Fernández-González F., Gómez-Rubio V., Muñoz J. et al., 2016. The mossy north: an inverse latitudinal diversity gradient in European bryophytes. Scientific Reports 6 p. 25546. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Patiño J., Mateo R.G., Zanatta F., Marquet A., Aranda S.C., Borges P.A., Dirkse G., Gabriel R., Gonzalez-Mancebo J.M., Guisan A. et al., 2016. Climate threat on the Macaronesian endemic bryophyte flora. Scientific Reports 6 p. 29156. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Bronken Eidesen P., Ehrich D., Descombes P., Schoenswetter P., Tribsch A., Bakke Westergaard K., Alvarez N., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E. et al., 2016. Past climate-driven range shifts and population genetic diversity in arctic plants. Journal of Biogeography 43(3) pp. 461-470. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Petitpierre B., Broennimann O., Kueffer C., Daehler C., Guisan A., 10-2016. Selecting predictors to maximize the transferability of species distribution models: lessons from cross-continental plant invasions. Global Ecology & Biogeography . [DOI]
Petitpierre B., McDougall K., Seipel T., Broennimann O., Guisan A., Kueffer C., 2016. Will climate change increase the risk of plant invasions into mountains? Ecological Applications : A Publication of the Ecological Society of America 26(2) pp. 530-544. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Regos A., D'Amen M., Titeux N., Herrando S., Guisan A., Brotons L., 2016. Predicting the future effectiveness of protected areas for bird conservation in Mediterranean ecosystems under climate change and novel fire regime scenarios. Diversity and Distribution 22(1) pp. 83-96. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Ren G., Mateo R.G., Liu J., Suchan T., Alvarez N., Guisan A., Conti E., Salamin. N., 10-2016. Genetic consequences of Quaternary climatic oscillations in the Himalayas: Primula tibetica as a case study based on RAD sequencing. New Phytologist . [embargo unspecified] [DOI]
Tulloch A.I.T., Sutcliffe P., Naujokaitis-Lewis I., Tingley R., Broton L., Ferraz K.M.P.M.B., Possingham H., Guisan A., Rhodes J.R., 2016. Conservation planners tend to ignore improved accuracy of modelled species distributions to focus on multiple threats and ecological processes. Biological Conservation 199 pp. 157-171. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Breiner F.T., Guisan A., Bergamini A., Nobis M.P., 2015. Overcoming limitations of modelling rare species by using ensembles of small models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 6(10) pp. 1210-1218. [DOI] [Web of Science]
D'Amen M., Dubuis A., Fernandes R.F., Pottier J., Pellisser L., Guisan A., 2015. Using species richness and functional traits predictions to constrain assemblage predictions from stacked species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography 42(7) pp. 1255-1266. [DOI] [Web of Science]
D'Amen M., Pradervand J.-N., Guisan A., 2015. Predicting richness and composition in mountain insect communities at high resolution: a new test of the SESAM framework. Global Ecology and Biogeography 24(12) pp. 1443-1453. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Essl F., Biró K., Brandes D., Broennimann O., Bullock J.M., Chapman D.S., Chauvel B., Dullinger S., Fumanal B., Guisan A. et al., 2015. Biological Flora of the British Isles: Ambrosia artemisiifolia. Journal of Ecology 103(4) pp. 1069-1098. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Fischer M., Altermatt F., Arlettaz R., Bartha B., Baur B., Bergamini A., Bersier L.-F., Birrer S., Braunisch V., Dollinger P. et al., 2015. Etat de la biodiversité en Suisse en 2014. 92 p., Forum Biodiversité Suisse, Centre de compétence scientifique pour la biodiversité en Suisse, Académie des sciences naturelles (SCNAT). [Document]
Mateo R.G., Broennimann O., Petitpierre B., Muñoz J., Rooy J. van, Laenen B., Guisan A., Vanderpoorten A., 2015. What is the potential of spread in invasive bryophytes? Ecography 38(5) pp. 480-487. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Melo Pacheco de Medeiros M.C., Guisan A., Lohmann L.G., 2015. Climate niche conservatism does not explain restricted distribution patterns in Tynanthus (Bignonieae, Bignoniaceae). Botanical Journal of the Linnean Society 179(1) pp. 95-109. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Mod H.K., le Roux P.C., Guisan A., Luoto M, 2015. Biotic interactions boost spatial models of species richness. Ecography 38(9) pp. 913-921. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Nieto-Lugilde D., Lenoir J., Abdulhak S., Aeschimann D., Dullinger S., Gégout J.-C., Guisan A., Pauli H., Renaud J., Theurillat J.-P. et al., 2015. Tree cover at fine and coarse spatial grains interacts with shade tolerance to shape plant species distributions across the Alps. Ecography 38(6) pp. 578-589. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Thalmann D.J.K., Khutsishvili M., Kharazishvili D., Guisan A., Broennimann O., Müller-Schärer H., 2015. Areas of high conservation value in Georgia: present and future threats by invasive alien plants. Biological Invasions 17(4) pp. 1041-1054. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Wasof S., Lenoir J., Aarrestad P.A., Alsos I.G., Armbruster W.S., Austrheim G., Bakkestuen V., Birks H.J.B., Bråthen K.A., Broennimann O. et al., 2015. Disjunct populations of European vascular plant species keep the same climatic niches. Global Ecology and Biogeography 24(12) pp. 1401-1412. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Wisz M.S., Broennimann O., Grønkjær P., Møller P.D.R., Olsen S.M., Swingedouw D., Hedeholm R.B., Nielsen E.E., Guisan A., Pellissier L., 2015. Reply to 'Sources of uncertainties in cod distribution models'. Nature Climate Change 5(9) pp. 790-791. [Web of Science]
Wisz M.S., Broennimann O., Grønkjær P., Møller P.R., Olsen S.M., Swingedouw D., Hedeholm R.B., Nielsen E.E., Guisan A., Pellissier L., 2015. Arctic warming will promote Atlantic-Pacific fish interchange. Nature Climate Change 5(3) pp. 261-265. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Broennimann O., Mráz P., Petitpierre B., Guisan A., Müller-Schärer H., 2014. Contrasting spatio-temporal climatic niche dynamics during the eastern and western invasions of spotted knapweed in North America. Journal of Biogeography 41(6) pp. 1126-1136. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Broennimann O., Ursenbacher S., Meyer A., Golay P., Monney J.C., Schmocker H., Guisan A., Dubey S., 2014. Influence of climate on the presence of colour polymorphism in two montane reptile species. Biology Letters 10(11) p. 20140638. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Carone M.T., Guisan A., Cianfrani C., Simoniello T., Loy A., Carranza M.L., 2014. A multi-temporal approach to model endangered species distribution in Europe: the case of the Eurasian otter in Italy. Ecological Modelling 274 pp. 21-28. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dawson M.N., Algar A.C., Antonelli A., Dávalos L.M., Davis E., Early R., Guisan A., Jansson R., Lessard J.P., Marske K.A. et al., 2014. An horizon scan of biogeography. Frontiers of Biogeography 5(2) pp. 130-157. [Document] [Pubmed]
Guisan A., 2014. Biodiversity: predictive traits to the rescue. Nature Climate Change 4(3) pp. 175-176. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Petitpierre B., Broennimann O., Daehler C., Kueffer C., 2014. Unifying niche shift studies: insights from biological invasions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 29(5) pp. 260-269. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Li Y., Liu X., Li X., Petitpierre B., Guisan A., 2014. Residence time, expansion toward the equator in the invaded range and native range size matter to climatic niche shifts in non-native species. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23(10) pp. 1094-1104. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maher S., Randin C.F., Guisan A., Drake J.M., 2014. Pattern recognition ecological niche models fit to presence-only and presence-absence data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5(8) pp. 761-770. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Merow C., Smith M.J., Edwards T.C., Guisan A., McMahon S., Normand S., Thuiller W., Wuest R., Zimmermann N.E., Elith J., 2014. What do we gain from simplicity versus complexity in species distribution models? Ecography 37(12) pp. 1267-1281. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Münkemüller T., Gallien L., Lavergne S., Renaud J., Roquet C., Abdulhak S., Dullinger S., Garraud L., Guisan A., Lenoir J. et al., 2014. Scale decisions can reverse conclusions on community assembly processes. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23(6) pp. 620-632. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Ndiribe C., Pellissier L., Dubuis A., Vittoz P., Salamin N., Guisan A., 2014. Plant functional and phylogenetic turnover correlate with climate and land use in the Western Swiss Alps. Journal of Plant Ecology 7(5) pp. 439-450. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pearman P.B., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., Psomas A., Schmatz D.R., 2014. Impacts on the biodiversity of widely distributed birds and vascular plants: species richness and turnover. pp. 69-77 in Raible C.C. (eds.) CH2014-Impacts : Toward quantitative scenarios of climate change impacts in Switzerland. Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, Bern.
Pellissier L., Niculita-Hirzel Hélène, Dubuis A., Pagni M., Guex N., Ndiribe C., Salamin N., Xenarios I., Goudet J., Sanders I.R. et al., 2014. Soil fungal communities of grasslands are environmentally structured at a regional scale in the Alps. Molecular Ecology 23(17) pp. 4274-4290. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pio D.V., Engler R., Linder H.P., Monadjem A., Cotterill F.P.D., Taylor P.J., Schoeman M.C., Price B.W., Villet M.H., Eick G. et al., 2014. Climate change effects on animal and plant phylogenetic diversity in southern Africa. Global Change Biology 20(5) pp. 1538-1549. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pottier J., Malenovský Z., Psomas A., Homolová L., Schaepman M.E., Choler P., Thuiller W., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2014. Modelling plant species distribution in alpine grasslands using airborne imaging spectroscopy. Biology Letters 10(7) p. 0347. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pradervand J.-N., Pellissier L., Randin C., Guisan A., 2014. Functional homogenization of bumblebee communities in alpine landscapes under projected climate change. Climate Change Responses 1(1) pp. 1-10. [DOI]
Pradervand J.N., Dubuis A., Pellissier L., Guisan A., Randin C.F., 2014. Very high-resolution environmental predictors in species distribution models: moving beyond topography? Progress in Physical Geography 38(1) pp. 79-96. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Thibaud E., Petitpierre B., Broennimann O., Davison A.C., Guisan A., 2014. Measuring the relative effect of factors affecting species distribution model predictions. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5(9) pp. 947-955. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vicente J.R., Goncalves J., Honrado J.P., Randin C.F., Pottier J., Broennimann O., Lomba A., Guisan A., 2014. A framework for assessing the scale of influence of environmental factors on ecological patterns. Ecological Complexity 20(SI) pp. 151-156. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vicente J.R., Pereira H.M., Randin C.F., Gonçalves J., Lomba A., Alves P., Metzger J., Cezar M., Guisan A., Honrado J., 2014. Environment and dispersal paths override life strategies and residence time in determining regional patterns of invasion by alien plants. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 16(1) pp. 1-10. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Von Däniken I., Guisan A., Lane S., 2014. RechAlp.vd - Une nouvelle plateforme UNIL de support pour la recherche transdisciplinaire dans les Alpes vaudoises. Bull. Soc. Vaud. Sc. Nat. 94(2) pp. 175-178.
Yannic G., Pellissier L., Ortego J., Lecomte N., Couturier S., Cuyler C., Dussault C., Hundertmark K.J., Irvine R.J., Jenkins D.A. et al., 2014. Genetic diversity in caribou linked to past and future climate change. Nature Climate Change 4(2) pp. 132-137. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Caplat P., Cheptou P.-O., Diez J., Guisan A., Larson B.M.H., MacDougall A.S., Peltzer D.A., Richardson D.M., Shea K., van Kleunen M. et al., 2013. Movement, impacts and management of plant distributions in response to climate change: insights from invasions. Oikos 122(9) pp. 1265-1274. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Cianfrani C., Maiorano L., Loy A., Kranz A., Lehmann A., Maggini R., Guisan A., 2013. There and back again? Combining habitat suitability modelling and connectivity analyses to assess a potential return of the otter to Switzerland. Animal Conservation 16(5) pp. 584-594. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dubuis A., Giovanettina S., Pellissier L., Pottier P., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2013. Improving the prediction of plant species distribution and community composition by adding edaphic to topo-climatic variables. Journal of Vegetation Science 24(4) pp. 593-606. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dubuis A., Rossier L., Pottier J., Pellissier L., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2013. Predicting current and future spatial community patterns of plant functional traits. Ecography 36(11) pp. 1158-1168. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Tingley R., Baumgartner J.B., Naujokaitis-Lewis I., Sutcliffe P.R., Tulloch A.I., Regan T.J., Brotons L., McDonald-Madden E., Mantyka-Pringle C. et al., 2013. Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions. Ecology Letters 16(12) pp. 1424-1435. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Iwamura T., Guisan A., Wilson K.A., Possingham H.P., Possingham P, 2013. How robust are global conservation priorities to climate change? Global Environmental Change 23(5) pp. 1277-1284. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maiorano L., Amori G., Capula M., Falcucci A., Masi M., Montemaggiori A., Pottier J., Psomas A., Rondinini C., Russo D. et al., 2013. Threats from climate change to terrestrial vertebrate hotspots in europe. PLoS One 8(9) pp. e74989. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Maiorano L., Cheddadi R., Zimmermann N.E., Pellissier L., Petitpierre B., Pottier J., Laborde H., Hurdu B.I., Pearman P.B., Psomas A. et al., 2013. Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22(3) pp. 302-317. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Mateo R.G., de la Estrella M., Felicisimo A.M., Munoz J., Guisan A., 2013. A new spin on a compositionalist predictive modelling framework for conservation planning: a tropical case study in Ecuador. Biological Conservation 160 pp. 150-161. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Ndiribe C., Pellissier L., Antonelli S., Dubuis A., Pottier J., Vittoz P., Guisan A., Salamin N., 2013. Phylogenetic plant community structure along elevation is lineage specific. Ecology and Evolution 3(15) pp. 4925-4939. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Ndiribe C., Salamin N., Guisan A., 2013. Understanding the concepts of community phylogenetics. Evolutionary Ecology Reserach 15(8) pp. 853-868. [Web of Science]
Pagni M., Niculita-Hirzel Hélène, Pellissier L., Dubuis A., Xenarios I., Guisan A., Sanders I.R., Goudet J., Guex N., 2013. Density-based hierarchical clustering of pyro-sequences on a large scale--the case of fungal ITS1. Bioinformatics 29(10) pp. 1268-1274. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Alvarez N., Espíndola A., Pottier J., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Guisan A., 2013. Phylogenetic alpha and beta diversities of butterfly communities correlate with climate in the western Swiss Alps. Ecography 36(5) pp. 541-550. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Anzini M., Maiorano L., Dubuis A., Pottier J., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2013. Spatial predictions of land-use transitions and associated threats to biodiversity: the case of forest regrowth in mountain grasslands. Applied Vegetation Science 16(2) pp. 227-236. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Bråthen K.A., Vittoz P.A., Yoccoz N.G., Dubuis A., Meier A.S., Zimmermann N.E., Randin C.F., Thuiller W., Garraud L. et al., 2013. Thermal niches are more conserved at cold than warm limits in arctic-alpine plant species. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22(8) pp. 933-941. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Espíndola A., Pradervand J.-N., Dubuis A., Pottier J., Ferrier S., Guisan A., 2013. A probabilistic approach to niche-based community models for spatial forecasts of assemblage properties and their uncertainties. Journal of Biogeography 40(10) pp. 1939-1946. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Meltofte H., Hansen J., Schmidt N.M, Tamstorf M.P., Maiorano L., Aastrup P., Olsen J., Guisan A., Wisz M.S., 2013. Suitability, success and sinks: how do predictions of nesting distributions relate to fitness parameters in high arctic waders? Diversity and Distributions 19(12) pp. 1496-1505. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Ndiribe C., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Salamin N., Guisan A., Rasmann S., 2013. Turnover of plant lineages shapes herbivore phylogenetic beta diversity along ecological gradients. Ecology Letters 16(5) pp. 600-608. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Pinto-Figueroa E., Niculita-Hirzel H., Moora M., Villard L., Goudet J., Guex N., Pagni M., Xenarios I., Sanders I. et al., 2013. Plant species distributions along environmental gradients: do belowground interactions with fungi matter? Frontiers In Plant Science 4(500) p. 500. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Pradervand J.N., Williams P.H., Litsios G., Cherix D., Guisan A., 2013. Phylogenetic relatedness and proboscis length contribute to structuring bumblebee communities in the extremes of abiotic and biotic gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22(5) pp. 577-585. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Rohr R.P., Ndiribe C., Pradervand J.-N., Salamin N., Guisan A., Wisz M., 2013. Combining food web and species distribution models for improved community projections. Ecology and Evolution 3(13) pp. 4572-4583. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pottier J., Dubuis A., Pellissier L., Maiorano L., Rossier L., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2013. Accuracy of plant assemblage predictions from species distribution models varies along environmental gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22(1) pp. 52-63. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pradervand J.N., Dubuis A., Reymond A., Sonnay V., Gelin A., Guisan A., 2013. Quels facteurs influencent la richesse en orthoptères des Préalpes vaudoises? Bulletin de la Société Vaudoises des Sciences Naturelles 93(4) pp. 155-173.
Pradervand J.N., Pellissier L., Litsios G., Guisan A., 2013. Potential hosts number in cuckoo bees (Psithyrus subgen.) increases toward higher elevations. Frontiers of Biogeography 5(2) pp. 122-129. [url editor site]
Reymond A., Purcell J., Cherix D., Guisan A., Pellissier L., 2013. Functional diversity decreases with temperature in high elevation ant fauna. Ecological Entomology 38(4) pp. 364-373. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Schorr G., Pearman P.B., Guisan A., Kadereit J.W., 2013. Combining palaeodistribution modelling and phylogeographical approaches for identifying glacial refugia in Alpine Primula. Journal of Biogeography 40(10) pp. 1947-1960. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vicente J., Pinto A., Araújo M.B., Verburg P., Lomba A., Randin C.F., Guisan A., Honrado J., 2013. Using life strategies to explore the vulnerability of ecosystem services to invasion by alien plants. Ecosystems 16(4) pp. 678-693. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vicente J.R., Fernandes R.F., Randin C.F., Broennimann O., Gonçalves J., Marcos B., Pôças I., Alves P., Guisan A., Honrado J.P., 2013. Will climate change drive alien invasive plants into areas of high protection value? An improved model-based regional assessment to prioritise the management of invasions. Journal of Environmental Management 131 pp. 185-195. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Wisz M.S., Pottier J., Kissling W.D., Pellissier L., Lenoir J., Damgaard C.F., Dormann C.F., Forchhammer M.C., Grytnes J.A., Guisan A. et al., 2013. The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 88(1) pp. 15-30. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Broennimann O., Fitzpatrick M.C., Pearman P.B., Petitpierre B., Pellissier L., Yoccoz N.G., Thuiller W., Fortin M.J., Randin C.R., Zimmermann N.E. et al., 2012. Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data. Global Ecology and Biogeography 21(4) pp. 481-497. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Civantos E., Thuiller W., Maiorano L., Guisan A., Araujo M.B., 2012. Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services in Europe: the Case of Pest Control by Vertebrates. BioScience. BioScience 62(7) pp. 658-666. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dullinger S., Gattringer A., Thuiller W., Moser D., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., Willner W., Plutzar C., Leitner M., Mang T. et al., 2012. Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under 21st-century climate change. Nature Climate Change 2(8) pp. 619-622. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Espíndola A., Pellissier L., Maiorano L., Hordijk W., Guisan A., Alvarez N., 2012. Predicting present and future intra-specific genetic structure through niche hindcasting across 24 millennia. Ecology Letters 15(7) pp. 649-657. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Gómez-Rodríguez C., Bustamante J., Díaz-Paniagua C., Guisan A., 2012. Integrating detection probabilities in species distribution models of amphibians breeding in Mediterranean temporary ponds. Diversity and Distributions 18(3) pp. 260-272. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Götzenberger L., de Bello F., Bråthen K.A., Davison J., Dubuis A., Guisan A., Lepš J., Lindborg R., Moora M., Pärtel M. et al., 2012. Ecological assembly rules in plant communities--approaches, patterns and prospects. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 87(1) pp. 111-127. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Guisan A., Petitpierre B., Broennimann O., Kueffer C., Randin C., Daehler C., 2012. Response to comment on "Climatic niche shifts are rare among terrestrial plant invaders". Science 338(6104) p. 193. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lenoir J., Svenning J.-C., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N.E., Gégout J.-C., 2012. The Alps Vegetation Database - a geo-referenced community-level archive of all terrestrial plants occurring in the Alps. in Dengler, J., Oldeland, J., Jansen, F., Chytrý, M., Ewald, J., Finckh, M., Glöckler, F., Lopez-Gonzalez, G., Peet, R.K., Schaminée, J.H.J. (eds.) Vegetation databases for the 21st century. Biodiversity & Ecology 4: 331-332. [DOI]
Lenoir J., Svenning J.-C., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N.E., Gégout J.-C., 2012. The Alps Vegetation Database - a geo-referenced community-level archive of all terrestrial plants occurring in the Alps. Biodiversity & Ecology 4 pp. 331-332. [DOI]
Mateo R.G., Felicísimo Á.M., Pottier J., Guisan A., Muñoz J., 2012. Do stacked species distribution models reflect altitudinal diversity patterns? PLoS One 7(3) pp. e32586. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Alvarez N., Guisan A., 2012. Pollinators as drivers of plant distribution and assemblage into communities. pp. 392-413 in Patiny S. (eds.) Evolution of plant-pollinator interactions. Systematics Association Special Volume Series 81. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Pellissier L., Fiedler K., Ndribe C., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Guisan A., Rasmann S., 2012. Shifts in species richness, herbivore specialization, and plant resistance along elevation gradients. Ecology and Evolution 2(8) pp. 1818-1825. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Litsios G., Fiedler K., Pottier J., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Salamin N., Guisan A., 2012. Loss of interactions with ants under cold climate in a regional myrmecophilous butterfly fauna. Journal of Biogeography 39(10) pp. 1782-1790. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Litsios G., Guisan A., Alvarez N., 2012. Molecular substitution rate increases in myrmecophilous lycaenid butterflies (Lepidoptera). Zoologica Scripta 41(6) pp. 651-658. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Pradervand J.N., Pottier J., Dubuis A., Maiorano L., Guisan A., 2012. Climate-based empirical models show biased predictions of butterfly communities along environmental gradients. Ecography 35(8) pp. 684-692. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Rasmann S., Litsios G., Fiedler K., Dubuis A., Pottier J., Guisan A., 2012. High host-plant nitrogen content: a prerequisite for the evolution of ant-caterpillar mutualism? Journal of Evolutionary Biology 25(8) pp. 1658-1666. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Petitpierre B., Kueffer C., Broennimann O., Randin C., Daehler C., Guisan A., 2012. Climatic niche shifts are rare among terrestrial plant invaders. Science 335(6074) pp. 1344-1348. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Schorr G., Holstein N., Pearman P.B., Guisan A., Kadereit J.W., 2012. Integrating species distribution models (SDMs) and phylogeography for two species of Alpine Primula. Ecology and Evolution 2(6) pp. 1260-1277. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Cianfrani C., Le Lay G., Maiorano L., Satizábal H.F., Loy A., Guisan A., 2011. Adapting global conservation strategies to climate change at the European scale: the otter as a flagship species. Biological Conservation 144(8) pp. 2068-2080. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dubuis A., Pottier J., Rion V., Pellissier L., Theurillat J.-P., Guisan A., 2011. Predicting spatial patterns of plant species richness: a comparison of direct macroecological and species stacking approaches. Diversity and Distributions 17(6) pp. 1122-1131. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., Randin C.R., Thuiller W., Dullinger S., Zimmermann N.E., Araújo M.B., Pearman P.B., Albert C.H., Choler P., de Lamo X. et al., 2011. 21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe. Global Change Biology 17(7) pp. 2330-2341. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maiorano L., Falcucci A., Zimmermann N.E., Psomas A., Pottier J., Baisero D., Rondinini C., Guisan A., Boitani L., 2011. The future of terrestrial mammals in the Mediterranean basin under climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 366(1578) pp. 2681-2692. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pearman P., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2011. Impacts of climate change on Swiss biodiversity: An indicator taxa approach. Biological Conservation 144(2) pp. 866-875. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pio D.V., Broennimann O., Barraclough T.G., Reeves G., Rebelo A.G., Thuiller W., Guisan A., Salamin N., 2011. Spatial predictions of phylogenetic diversity in conservation decision making. Conservation Biology 25(6) pp. 1229-1239. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pradervand J.N., Pellissier L., Rossier L., Dubuis A., Guisan A., Cherix D., 2011. Diversity of bumblebees (Bombus Latreille, Apidae) in the alps of the canton Vaud (Switzerland). Mitteilungen der Schweizerischen Entomologischen Gesellschaft 84(1-2) pp. 45-66.
Vicente J., Randin C.F., Gonçalves J., Metzger M.J., Lomba A., Honrado J., Guisan A., 2011. Where will conflicts between alien and rare species occur after climate and land-use change? A test with a novel combined modelling approach. Biological Invasions 13(5) pp. 1209-1227. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Gomez-Rodriguez C., Guisan A., Diaz-Paniagua C., Bustamante J., 2010. Application of detection probabilities to the design of amphibian monitoring programs in temporary ponds. Annales Zoologici Fennici 47(5) pp. 306-322. [Web of Science]
Le Lay G., Engler R., Franc E., Guisan A., 2010. Prospective sampling based on model ensembles improves the detection of rare species. Ecography 33(6) pp. 1015-1027. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lenoir J., Gégout J.C., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N. E., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Svenning J. C., 2010. Going against the flow: potential mechanisms for unexpected downslope range shifts in a warming climate. Ecography 33(2) pp. 295-303. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lenoir J., Gégout J.C., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N.E., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Grytnes J.A. et al., 2010. Cross-scale analysis of the region effect on vascular plant species diversity in southern and northern European mountain ranges. PLoS One 5(12) pp. e15734. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Lomba A., Pellissier L., Randin C., Vicente J., Moreira F., Honrado J., Guisan A., 2010. Overcoming the rare species modelling paradox: test of a novel hierarchical framework with an Iberian endemic plant. Biological Conservation 143(11) pp. 2647-2657. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Meier E.S., Kienast F., Pearman P.B., Svenning J.-C., Thuiller W., Araújo M.B., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2010. Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions. Ecography 33(6) pp. 1038-1048. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pairon M., Petitpierre B., Campbell M., Guisan A., Broennimann O., Baret P.V., Jacquemart A.L., Besnard G., 2010. Multiple introductions boosted genetic diversity in the invasive range of black cherry (Prunus serotina; Rosaceae). Annals of Botany 105(6) pp. 881-890. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Bråthen K.A., Pottier J., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Dubuis A., Yoccoz N.G., Alm T., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., 2010. Species distribution models reveal apparent competitive and facilitative effects of a dominant species on the distribution of tundra plants. Ecography 33(6) pp. 1004-1014. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Fournier B., Guisan A., Vittoz P., 2010. Plant traits co-vary with altitude in grasslands and forests in the European Alps. Plant Ecology 211(2) pp. 351-365. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Pottier J., Vittoz P., Dubuis A., Guisan A., 2010. Spatial pattern of floral morphology: a possible insight into the effects of pollinators on plant distribution. Oikos 119(11) pp. 1805-1813. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Engler R., Pearman P.B., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2010. Using georeferenced databases to assess the effect of climate change on alpine plant species and diversity. pp. 149-163 in Spehn E.M., Körner C. (eds.) Data mining for global trends in mountain biodiversity. CRC Press, Boca Raton, USA. [url editor site]
Thuiller W., Albert C.H., Dubuis A., Randin C., Guisan A., 2010. Variation in habitat suitability does not always relate to variation in species' plant functional traits. Biology Letters 6(1) pp. 120-123. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Vittoz P., Bayfield N., Brooker R., Elston D.A., Duff E.I., Theurillat J.-P., Guisan A., 2010. Reproducibility of species lists, visual cover estimates and frequency methods for recording high mountain vegetation. Journal of Vegetation Science 21(6) pp. 1035-1047. [DOI] [Web of Science]
D'Andrea L., Broennimann O., Kozlowski G., Guisan A., Morin X., Keller-Senften J., Felber F., 2009. Climate change, anthropogenic disturbance and the northward range expansion of Lactuca serriola (Asteraceae). Journal of Biogeography 36(8) pp. 1573-1587. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., Guisan A., 2009. MIGCLIM: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate. Diversity and Distributions 15(4) pp. 590-601. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Czáka T., Beniston M., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., 2009. Predicting future distributions of mountain plants under climate change: does dispersal capacity matter? Ecography 32(1) pp. 34-45. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Fournier B., Pellissier L., Guisan A., Vittoz P., 2009. Morphologie et reproduction des plantes le long de gradients altitudinaux. Bulletin de la Murithienne 127 pp. 45-52.
Hautier Y., Randin C.R., Stöcklin J., Guisan A., 2009. Changes in reproductive investment with altitude in an alpine plant. Journal of Plant Ecology 2(3) pp. 125-134. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Henry P., Le Lay G., Goudet J., Guisan A., Jahodová S., Besnard G., 2009. Reduced genetic diversity, increased isolation and multiple introductions of invasive giant hogweed in the western Swiss Alps. Molecular Ecology 18(13) pp. 2819-2831. [embargo unspecified] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Lütolf M., Bolliger J., Guisan A., Kienast F., 2009. Scenario-based assessment of future land use change on butterfly species distributions. Biodiversity and Conservation 18(5) pp. 1329-1345. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lütolf M., Kienast F., Guisan A., 2009. History matters: relating paths and rates of landscape change to butterfly species decline. Environmental Management 43(3) pp. 436-446. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Mathys L., Guisan A., Kellenberger T.W., Zimmermann N.E., 2009. Evaluating effects of spectral training data distribution on continuous field mapping performance. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 64(6) pp. 665-673. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Normand S., Treier U., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Guisan A., Svenning J.-C., 2009. Importance of abiotic stress as a range-limit determinant for European plants: insights from species' responses to climatic gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18(4) pp. 437-449. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pauchard A., Kueffer C., Dietz H., Daehler C.C., Alexander J., Edwards P.J., Ramon Arevalo J., Cavieres L.A., Guisan A., Haider S. et al., 2009. Ain't no mountain high enough: plant invasions reaching new elevations. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7(9) pp. 479-486. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Petitpierre B., Pairon M., Broennimann O., Jacquemart A.L., Guisan A., Besnard G., 2009. Plastid DNA variation in Prunus serotina var. serotina (Rosaceae), a North American tree invading Europe. European Journal of Forest Research 128(5) pp. 431-436. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Engler R., Normand S., Zappa M., Zimmermann N.E., Pearman P.B., Vittoz P., Thuiller W., Guisan A., 2009. Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Global Change Biology 15(6) pp. 1557-1569. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Jaccard H., Vittoz P., Yoccoz N.G., Guisan A., 2009. Land use improves spatial predictions of mountain plant abundance but not presence-absence. Journal of Vegetation Science 20(6) pp. 996-1008. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Vuissoz G., Liston G., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2009. Introduction of snow and geomorphic disturbance variables into predictive models of alpine plant distribution in the Western Swiss Alps. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 41(3) pp. 347-361. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Treier U.A., Broennimann O., Normand S., Guisan A., Schaffner U., Steinger T., Müller-Schärer H., 2009. Shift in cytotype frequency and niche space in the invasive plant Centaurea maculosa. Ecology 90(5) pp. 1366-1377. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Vittoz P., Dussex N., Wassef J., Guisan A., 2009. Diaspore traits discriminate good from weak colonisers on high elevation summits. Basic and Applied Ecology 10(6) pp. 508-515. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Zimmermann N.E., Yoccoz N.G., Edwards T.C., Meier E.S., Thuiller W., Guisan A., Schmatz D.R., Pearman P.B., 2009. Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106 Suppl 2(Suppl. 2) pp. 19723-19728. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Broennimann O., Guisan A., 2008. Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biology Letters 4(5) pp. 585-589. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Gehrig-Fasel J., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2008. Evaluating thermal treeline indicators based on air and soil temperature using an air-to-soil temperature transfer model. Ecological Modelling 213(3-4) pp. 345-355. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Graham C. H., Elith J., Hijmans R., Guisan A., Peterson A. T., Loiselle B. A., NCEAS species distribution modelling group, 2008. Evaluating the influence of spatial uncertainty in locality points for species distributional modeling. Journal of Applied Ecology 45(1) pp. 239-247. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Kuehn I., Sykes M.T., Berry P.M., Thuiller W., Piper J.M., Nigmann U., Araujo M.B., Balletto E., Bonelli S., Cabeza M. et al., 2008. MACIS: Minimisation of and adaptation to climate change impacts on Biodiversity. Gaia 17(4) pp. 393 -395. [Web of Science]
Pearman P.B., Guisan A., Broennimann O., Randin C.F., 2008. Niche dynamics in space and time. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 23(3) pp. 149-158. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pearman P.B., Randin C.F., Broennimann O., Vittoz P., van der Knaap W.O., Engler R., Le Lay G., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., 2008. Prediction of plant species distributions across six millennia. Ecology Letters 11(4) pp. 357-369. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Thuiller W., Albert C., Araujo M. B., Berry P. M., Cabeza M., Guisan A., Hickler T., Midgley G. F., Paterson J., Schurr F. M. et al., 2008. Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges. Perspective in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 9(3-4) pp. 137-152. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Wisz M.S., Hijmans R.J., Li J., Peterson A.T., Graham C.G., Guisan A., NCEAS Species Distribution Modelling Group, 2008. Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Diversity and Distribution 14(5) pp. 763-773. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Alcamo J., Moreno J.M., Nováky B., Bindi M., Corobov R., Devoy R.J.N., Giannakopoulos C., Martin E., Olesen J.E., Shvidenko A. et al., 2007. Europe. pp. 541-580 in Parry M., Canziani O., Palutikok J., van der Linden P., Hanson C. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. [url editor site]
Becker A., Korner C., Brun J. J., Guisan A., Tappeiner U., 2007. Ecological and land use studies along elevational gradients. Mountain Research and Development 27(1) pp. 58-65. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Botkin D. B., Saxe H., Araujo M. B., Betts R., Bradshaw R. H. W., Cedhagen T., Chesson P., Dawson T. P., Etterson J. R., Faith D. P. et al., 2007. Forecasting the effects of global warming on biodiversity. Bioscience 57(3) pp. 227-236. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Broennimann O., Treier U. A., Muller-Scharer H., Thuiller W., Peterson A. T., Guisan A., 2007. Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. Ecology Letters 10(8) pp. 701-709. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Bugmann H., Gurung A. B., Ewert F., Haeberli W., Guisan A., Fagre D., Kaab A., 2007. Modeling the biophysical impacts of global change in mountain biosphere reserves. Mountain Research and Development 27(1) pp. 66-77. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Fischlin A., Midgley G.F., Price J., Leemans R., Gopal B., Turley C., Rounsevell M.D.A., Tarazona J., Velichko A.A., Atlhopheng J. et al., 2007. Ecosystems, their properties, goods and services. pp. 211-272 in Parry M.L., Canziani O.F., Palutikof J.P., van der Linden P.J., Hanson CE (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. [url editor site]
Gehrig-Fasel J., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Tree line shifts in the Swiss Alps: Climate change or land abandonment? Journal of Vegetation Science 18(4) pp. 571-582. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Graham C. H., Elith J., Huettmann F., 2007. Sensitivity of predictive species distribution models to change in grain size. Diversity and Distributions 13(3) pp. 332-340. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Spehn E., Korner C., 2007. MRI newsletter 8: Georeferenced biological databases - A tool for understanding mountain biodiversity. Mountain Research and Development 27(1) pp. 80-81. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Thuiller W., 2007. Erratum. to Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models Vol. 8, Issue 9, 993-1009. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., Elith J., Graham C., Phillips S., Peterson001 A. T., 2007. What matters for predicting spatial distributions of trees: techniques, data, or species' characteristics? Ecological Monographs 77(4) pp. 615-630. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Rickebusch S., Gellrich M., Lischke H., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Combining probabilistic land-use change and tree population dynamics modelling to simulate responses in mountain forests. Ecological Modelling 209(2-4) pp. 157-168. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Rickebusch S., Lischke H., Bugmann H., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Understanding the low-temperature limitations to forest growth through calibration of a forest dynamics model with tree-ring data. Forest Ecology and Management 246(2-3) pp. 251-263. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Rutherford G. N., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Evaluating sampling strategies and logistic regression methods for modelling complex land cover changes. Journal of Applied Ecology 44(2) pp. 414-424. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2007. How reliable is the monitoring of permanent vegetation plots? A test with multiple observers. Journal of Vegetation Science 18(3) pp. 413-422. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Araujo M. B., Guisan A., 2006. Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling. Journal of Biogeography 33(10) pp. 1677-1688. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Broenniman O., Thuiller W., Hughes G., Midgley G. F., Alkemade J. M. R., Guisan A., 2006. Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants' vulnerability to global change? Global Change Biology 12(6) pp. 1079-1093. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Drake J. M., Randin C., Guisan A., 2006. Modelling ecological niches with support vector machines. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(3) pp. 424-432. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dufour A., Gadallah F., Wagner H. H., Guisan A., Buttler A., 2006. Plant species richness and environmental heterogeneity in a mountain landscape: effects of variability and spatial configuration. Ecography 29(4) pp. 573-584. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Elith J., Graham C. H., Anderson R. P., Dudik M., Ferrier S., Guisan A., Hijmans R. J., Huettmann F., Leathwick J. R., Lehmann A. et al., 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29(2) pp. 129-151. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Ferrier S., Guisan A., 2006. Spatial modelling of biodiversity at the community level. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(3) pp. 393-404. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Broennimann O., Engler R., Vust M., Yoccoz N. G., Lehmann A., Zimmermann N. E., 2006. Using niche-based models to improve the sampling of rare species. Conservation Biology 20(2) pp. 501-11. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Guisan A., Lehmann A., Ferrier S., Austin M., Overton J. M. C., Aspinall R., Hastie T., 2006. Making better biogeographical predictions of species' distributions. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(3) pp. 386-392. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Hirzel A.H., Le Lay G., Helfer V., Randin C., Guisan A., 2006. Evaluating the ability of habitat suitability models to predict species presences. Ecological Modelling. 199(1) pp. 142-152. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lutolf M., Kienast F., Guisan A., 2006. The ghost of past species occurrence: improving species distribution models for presence-only data. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(4) pp. 802-815. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maggini R., Lehmann A., Zimmermann N. E., Guisan A., 2006. Improving generalized regression analysis for the spatial prediction of forest communities. Journal of Biogeography 33(10) pp. 1729-1749. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C. F., Dirnbock T., Dullinger S., Zimmermann N. E., Zappa M., Guisan A., 2006. Are niche-based species distribution models transferable in space? Journal of Biogeography 33(10) pp. 1689-1703. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vittoz P., Jutzeler S., Guisan A., 2006. Flore alpine et réchauffement climatique: observation de trois sommets valaisans à travers le XXe siècle. Bulletin de la Murithienne 123 pp. 49-59. [Document]
Broennimann O., Vittoz P., Moser D., Guisan A., 2005. Rarity types among plant species with high conservation priority in Switzerland. Botanica Helvetica 115(2) pp. 95-108. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., 2005. Monitoring networks for testing model-based scenarios of climate change impact on mountain plant distribution. pp. 467-476 in Huber U.M., Bugmann H.K.M., Reasoner M.A. (eds.) Global change and mountain regions. Advances in Global Change Research 23. Springer, Dordrecht. [DOI]
Guisan A., Thuiller W., 2005. Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters 8(9) pp. 993-1009. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., Guisan A., Rechsteiner L., 2004. An improved approach for predicting the distribution of rare and endangered species from occurrence and pseudo-absence data. Journal of Applied Ecology 41(2) pp. 263-274. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Hofer U., 2003. Predicting reptile distributions at the mesoscale: relation to climate and topography. Journal of Biogeography 30(8) pp. 1233-1243. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Theurillat J. P., Schlüssel A., Geissler P., Guisan A., Velluti C., Wiget L., 2003. Plant and Bryophyte Diversity Along Elevational Gradients in the Alps. in Nagy L., Grabherr G., Koerner C., Thompson D. B. A (eds.) Alpine biodiversity in Europe. Ecological Studies 167. Springer, Berlin.
Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2003. Le projet PERMANENT.PLOT.CH demande votre collaboration. Botanica Helvetica 113(2) pp. 105-110. [DOI]
Guisan A., 2002. Semi-quantitative response models for predicting the spatial distribution of plant species. pp. 315-326 in Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, Covelo, California, Scott, J.M. Heglund, P.J. Haufler, J.B. Morrison, M. Raphael, M.G. Wall, W.B. Samson, F..
Guisan A., Edwards T. C., Hastie T., 2002. Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecological Modelling 157(2-3) pp. 89-100. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Hofer U., Monney J. C., Dusej G. (eds.) Guisan A., Hofer U., 2002. Modélisation du domaine de distribution potentielle des espèces.Birkhäuser Verlag.
Hirzel A., Guisan A., 2002. Which is the optimal sampling strategy for habitat suitability modelling. Ecological Modelling 157(2-3) pp. 331-341. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maggini R., Guisan A., Cherix D., 2002. A stratified approach for modeling the distribution of a threatened ant species in the Swiss National Park. Biodiversity and Conservation 11(12) pp. 2117-2141. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Cherix D., Maggini R., Guisan A., Schneider M.-A., Gonseth Y., 2001. Echantilloner oui mais comment? pp. 101-102 in Tompetrini E. (eds.) Faune sauvage et convention alpine. Actes du Réseau Alpin 7646. Réseau alpin des espaces protégés, Gap.
Freitag A., Guisan A., Cherix D., 2001. Application d 'un échantillonnage aléatoire stratifié pour l 'étude de la distribution des fourmis des bois. Actes des Colloques Insectes Sociaux 14 pp. 27-31.
Guisan A., Hofer U., 2001. Modélisation du domaine de distribution potentielle des espèces. pp. 183-189 in Hofer U., Monney J.-C., Dusej G. (eds.) Les reptiles de Suisse : répartition, habitats, protection. Birkhäuser, Basel.
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., 2001. Assessing alpine plant vulnerability to climate change: A modeling perspective. Integrated Assessment 1(4) pp. 307-320. [DOI]
Jaberg C., Guisan A., 2001. Modelling the distribution of bats in relation to landscape structure in a temperate mountain environment. Journal of Applied Ecology 38(6) pp. 1169-1181. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Theurillat J. P., Guisan A., 2001. Potential impact of climate change on vegetation in the European Alps: a review. Climatic Change 50(1-2) pp. 77-109. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Harrell F. E., 2000. Ordinal response regression models in ecology. Journal of Vegetation Science 11(5) pp. 617-626. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., 2000. Equilibrium modeling of alpine plant distribution: how far can we go? Phytocoenologia 30(3-4) pp. 353-384. [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling 135(2-3) pp. 147-186. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Weiss S. B., Weiss A. D., 1999. GLM versus CCA spatial modeling of plant species distribution. Plant Ecology 143(1) pp. 107-122. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., Kienast F., 1998. Predicting the potential distribution of plant species in an Alpine environment. Journal of Vegetation Science 9(1) pp. 65-74. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lischke H., Guisan A., Fischlin A., Bugman H., 1998. Vegetation responses to climate change in the Alps: Modelling studies. pp. 309-350 in Cebon P., et al. (eds.) Views from the Alps: regional perspectives on climate change. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Beniston M., Fox D. G., Adhikary S., Andressen R., Guisan A., Holten J. I., Innes J., Maitima J., Price M. F., Tessier L., 1996. Impacts of climate change on mountain regions. Intergovernmental panel on climate change. Second assessment report.
Guisan A., Spichiger R.E., Holten J.I., Tessier L. (eds.) 1995. Potential Ecological Impacts of Climate Change in the Alps and Fennoscandian Mountains.Conservatoire et jardin botaniques.
Aeschimann D., Guisan A., 1995. Introduction to the Alps. pp. 81-85 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Guisan A., Holten J. I., 1995. Impacts of climate change on mountain ecosystems: future research and monitoring needs. pp. 179-184 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Guisan A., Tessier L., Holten J., Haeberli W., Baumgartner M., 1995. Understanding the impact of climate change on mountain ecosystems: an overview. pp. 15-37 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., Spichiger R., 1995. Effects of climate change on alpine plant diversity and distribution: the modelling and monitoring perspectives. pp. 129-135 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Phd thesis
BREINER F. T., 2016. MODELS, NICHES AND TRAITS: TOWARDS IMPROVED RED LIST ASSESSMENTS. Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Pradervand J.-N., 2015. Assessing the use of very high resolution data to predict species distribution in a mountain environment. 66 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Petitpierre B., 01-2014. Using environmental niche modelling to understand biological invasions in a changing world. PhD, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan, A. (dir.).
Dubuis A., 2013. Predicting spatial patterns of plant biodiversity : from species to communities. Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan, A. (dir.).
Petitpierre B., 2013. Using environmental niche modeling to understand biological invasions in a changing world. 317 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Pliscoff P., 2013. Predicting the past, present and future of plant biodiversity in Chile : a habitat suitability modeling approach. 252 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan, A. (dir.).
Pellissier L., 2012. Species distributions and interactions in a changing world : from understanding to forecasting. Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan, A., Cherix, D. (dir.).
Vicente J.R., 2012. Modelling landscape invasion by alien plants under current and future conditions of climate and land use. PhD thesis, University of Porto & CIBIO, Honrado, J. (dir.).
Maggini R., 2011. Species distribution models for conservation-oriented studies in Switzerland : filling data and tools gaps. 235 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Pio D., 2010. Evolutionary history and its relevance in understanding and conserving southern African biodiversity. 148 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Engler R., 2009. Unfolding nature "in silico" : overcoming practical and metodological limitations of species distribution models. 239 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Broennimann O., 2008. Niche, distribution and global change : modeling insights into biogeography and conservation biology Olivier Broennimann. 245 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Gehrig-Fasel J.A., 2007. Treeline and climate change : analyzing and modeling patterns and shifts in the Swiss Alps. 132 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Mathys L., 2007. A discrete forest in a continuous landscape : investigating interactions between natural resource management and sustainable development. 90 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Randin C., 2007. Providing more informative projections of climate change impact on plant distribution in a mountain environment. 252 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Dufour A., 2006. Evaluation multi-échelle de la biodiversité végétale dans les paysages sylvo-pastoraux du massif jurassien. Thèse de doctorat, Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan, A. (dir.).
Dufour A., 2006. Multiscale assessment of plant diversity in wooded pastures of the Jura mountains. 111 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Buttler A. (dir.).
Lütolf M., 2006. Changing landscapes of Switzerland: assessing effects of historic and future land uses and land covers on the occurrence of selected butterfly species. 126 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan D. (dir.).
Rickebusch S., 2006. Modelling tree population dynamics at the alpine and boreal tree-line ecotones in response to climate and land-use change. 126 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).


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