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Publications


In press |  2013 |  2012 |  2011 |  2010 |  2009 |  2008 |  2007 |  2006 |  2005 |  2004 |  2003 |  2002 |  2001 |  2000 |  1999 |  1998 |  1996 |  1995 | 
 

In Press
Caplat P., Cheptou P.-O., Diez J., Guisan A., Larson B.M.H., MacDougall A.S., Peltzer D.A., Richardson D.M., Shea K., Van Kleunen M., Zhang R., Buckley Y.M, In Press. Movement, impacts and management of plant distributions in response to climate change: insights from invasions. Oikos .
Cianfrani C., Maiorano L., Loy A., Kranz A., Lehmann A., Maggini R., Guisan A., In Press. There and back again? Combining habitat suitability modelling and connectivity analyses to assess a potential return of the otter to Switzerland. Animal Conservation .
Dubuis A., Giovanettina S., Pellissier L., Pottier P., Vittoz P., Guisan A., In Press. Improving the prediction of plant species distribution and community composition by adding edaphic to topo-climatic variables. Journal of Vegetation Science . [DOI]
Dubuis A., Rossier L., Pottier J., Pellissier L., Vittoz P., Guisan A., In Press. Predicting current and future spatial community patterns of plant functional traits. Ecography . [DOI]
Pagni M., Niculita-Hirzel H., Pellissier L., Dubuis A., Xenarios I., Guisan A., Sanders I.R., Goudet J., Guex N., In Press. Density-based hierarchical clustering of pyro-sequences on a large scale - the case of fungal ITS1. Bioinformatics .
Pellissier L., Alvarez N., Espíndola A., Pottier J., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Guisan A., In Press. Phylogenetic alpha and beta diversities of butterfly communities correlate with climate in the western Swiss Alps. Ecography .
Pellissier L., Anzini M., Maiorano L., Dubuis A., Pottier J., Vittoz P., Guisan A., In Press. Spatial predictions of land use transitions and associated threats to biodiversity: the case of forest regrowth in mountain grasslands. Applied Vegetation Science .
Pellissier L., Bråthen K.A., Vittoz P.A., Yoccoz N.G., Dubuis A., Meier A.S., Zimmermann N.E., Randin C.F., Thuiller W., Garraud L., Van Es J., Guisan A., In Press. Thermal niches are more conserved at cold than warm limits in arctic-alpine plant species. Global Ecology & Biogeography .
Pellissier L., Ndiribe C., Dubuis A., Pradervand JN., Salamin N., Guisan A., Rasmann S., In Press. Turnover of plant lineages shapes herbivore phylogenetic beta diversity along ecological gradients. Ecology Letters .
Schorr G., Pearman P.B., Guisan A., Kadereit J.W., In Press. Combining palaeodistribution modelling and phylogeographical approaches for identifying glacial refugia in Alpine Primula. Journal of Biogeography .
Vicente J., Pinto A., Araújo M.B., Verburg P., Lomba A., Randin C.F., Guisan A., Honrado J., In Press. Using life strategies to explore the vulnerability of ecosystem services to invasion by alien plants. Ecosystems .
2013
Lomba A., Vaz A.S., Moreira F., Pradinho Honrado J., 2013. Hierarchic species-area relationships and the management of forest habitat islands in intensive farmland. Forest Ecology and Management 291 pp. 190-198.
Maiorano L., Cheddadi R., Zimmermann N.E., Pellissier L., Petitpierre B., Pottier J., Laborde H., Hurdu B.I., Pearman P.B., Psomas A., Singarayer J.S., Broennimann O., Vittoz P., Dubuis A., Edwards M.E., Binney H.A., Guisan A., 2013. Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22(3) pp. 302-317. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Mateo R.G., de la Estrella M., Felicisimo A.M., Munoz J., Guisan A., 2013. A new spin on a compositionalist predictive modelling framework for conservation planning: A tropical case study in Ecuador. Biological Conservation 160 pp. 150-161.
Pottier J., Dubuis A., Pellissier L., Maiorano L., Rossier L., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2013. Accuracy of plant assemblage predictions from species distribution models varies along environmental gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22(1) pp. 52-63. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Wisz M.S., Pottier J., Kissling D.W., Pellissier L., Lenoir J., Damgaard C.F., Dormann C.F., Forchhammer M.C., Grytnes J.A., Guisan A., Heikkinen R., Høye T.T., Kühn I., Luoto M., Maiorano L., Nilsson M.C., Normand S., Öckinger E., Schmidt N.M., Termansen M., Timmermann A., Wardle D.A., Aastrup P., Svenning J.C., 2013. The role of biotic interactions in shaping distributions and realised assemblages of species: implications for species distribution modelling. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 88(1) pp. 15-30. [Document] [DOI]
2012
Broennimann O., Fitzpatrick M.C., Pearman P.B., Petitpierre B., Pellissier L., Yoccoz N.G., Thuiller W., Fortin M.J., Randin C.R., Zimmermann N.E., Graham C.H., Guisan A., 2012. Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data. Global Ecology and Biogeography 21(4) pp. 481-497. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
Civantos E., Thuiller W., Maiorano L., Guisan A., Araujo M.B., 2012. Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Ecosystem Services in Europe: the Case of Pest Control by Vertebrates. BioScience. BioScience 62(7) pp. 658-666. [DOI]
Dullinger S., Gattringer A., Thuiller W., Moser D., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., Willner W., Plutzar C., Leitner M., Mang T., Caccianiga M., Dirnböck T., Ertl S., Fischer A., Lenoir J., Svenning J.-C., Psomas A., Schmatz D.R., Silc U., Vittoz P., Hülber K., 2012. Extinction debt of high-mountain plants under 21st-century climate change. Nature Climate Change 2(8) pp. 619-622. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Espíndola A., Pellissier L., Maiorano L., Hordijk W., Guisan A., Alvarez N., 2012. Predicting present and future intra-specific genetic structure through niche hindcasting across 24 millennia. Ecology Letters 15(7) pp. 649-657. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Gómez-Rodríguez C., Bustamante J., Díaz-Paniagua C., Guisan A., 2012. Integrating detection probabilities in species distribution models of amphibians breeding in Mediterranean temporary ponds. Diversity and Distributions 18(3) pp. 260-272. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Götzenberger L., de Bello F., Bråthen K.A., Davison J., Dubuis A., Guisan A., Lep? J., Lindborg R., Moora M., Pärtel M., Pellissier L., Pottier J., Vittoz P., Zobel K., Zobel M., 2012. Ecological assembly rules in plant communities--approaches, patterns and prospects. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 87(1) pp. 111-127. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Guisan A., Petitpierre B., Broennimann O., Kueffer C., Randin C., Daehler C., 2012. Response to comment on "Climatic niche shifts are rare among terrestrial plant invaders". Science 338(6104) p. 193. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lenoir J., Svenning J.-C., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N.E., Gégout J.-C., 2012. The Alps Vegetation Database - a geo-referenced community-level archive of all terrestrial plants occurring in the Alps. Biodiversity & Ecology 4 pp. 331-332. [DOI]
Mateo R.G., Felicísimo Á.M., Pottier J., Guisan A., Muñoz J., 2012. Do stacked species distribution models reflect altitudinal diversity patterns? PLoS One 7(3) pp. e32586. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., 2012. Species distributions and interactions in a changing world : from understanding to forecasting. Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan, A., Cherix, D. (dir.).
Pellissier L., Alvarez N., Guisan A., 2012. Pollinators as drivers of plant distribution and assemblage into communities. pp. 392-413 in Patiny S. (eds.) Evolution of plant-pollinator interactions. Systematics Association Special Volume Series 81. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Pellissier L., Fiedler K., Ndribe C., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Guisan A., Rasmann S., 2012. Shifts in species richness, herbivore specialization, and plant resistance along elevation gradients. Ecology and Evolution 2(8) pp. 1818-1825. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Litsios G., Fiedler K., Pottier J., Dubuis A., Pradervand J.N., Salamin N., Guisan A., 2012. Loss of interactions with ants under cold climate in a regional myrmecophilous butterfly fauna. Journal of Biogeography 39(10) pp. 1782-1790. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Litsios G., Guisan A., Alvarez N., 2012. Molecular substitution rate increases in myrmecophilous lycaenid butterflies (Lepidoptera). Zoologica Scripta 41(6) pp. 651-658. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Pradervand J.N., Pottier J., Dubuis A., Maiorano L., Guisan A., 2012. Climate-based empirical models show biased predictions of butterfly communities along environmental gradients. Ecography 35(8) pp. 684-692. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Pradervand J.N., Williams P.H., Litsios G., Cherix D., Guisan A., 2012. Phylogenetic relatedness and proboscis length contribute to structure bumblebee communities in the extremes of abiotic and biotic gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography . [DOI]
Pellissier L., Rasmann S., Litsios G., Fiedler K., Dubuis A., Pottier J., Guisan A., 2012. High host-plant nitrogen content: a prerequisite for the evolution of ant-caterpillar mutualism? Journal of Evolutionary Biology 25(8) pp. 1658-1666. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Petitpierre B., Kueffer C., Broennimann O., Randin C., Daehler C., Guisan A., 2012. Climatic niche shifts are rare among terrestrial plant invaders. Science 335(6074) pp. 1344-1348. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Schorr G., Holstein N., Pearman P.B., Guisan A., Kadereit J.W., 2012. Integrating species distribution models (SDMs) and phylogeography for two species of Alpine Primula. Ecology and Evolution 2(6) pp. 1260-1277. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
2011
Cianfrani C., Le Lay G., Maiorano L., Satizábal H.F., Loy A., Guisan A., 2011. Adapting global conservation strategies to climate change at the European scale: the otter as a flagship species. Biological Conservation 144(8) pp. 2068-2080. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dubuis A., Pottier J., Rion V., Pellissier L., Theurillat J.-P., Guisan A., 2011. Predicting spatial patterns of plant species richness: a comparison of direct macroecological and species stacking approaches. Diversity and Distributions 17(6) pp. 1122-1131. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., Randin C.R., Thuiller W., Dullinger S., Zimmermann N.E., Araújo M.B., Pearman P.B., Albert C.H., Choler P., de Lamo X., Dirnböck T., Gómez-García D., Grytnes J.-A., Heegard E., Høistad F., Le Lay G., Nogues-Bravo D., Normand S., Piédalu C., Puscas M., Sebastià M.-T., Stanisci A., Theurillat J.-P., Trivedi M., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2011. 21st century climate change threatens mountain flora unequally across Europe. Global Change Biology 17(7) pp. 2330-2341. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maggini R., 2011. Species distribution models for conservation-oriented studies in Switzerland : filling data and tools gaps. 235 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Maiorano L., Falcucci A., Zimmermann N.E., Psomas A., Pottier J., Baisero D., Rondinini C., Guisan A., Boitani L., 2011. The future of terrestrial mammals in the Mediterranean basin under climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences 366(1578) pp. 2681-2692. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pearman P., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2011. Impacts of climate change on Swiss biodiversity: An indicator taxa approach. Biological Conservation 144(2) pp. 866-875. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pio D.V., Broennimann O., Barraclough T.G., Reeves G., Rebelo A.G., Thuiller W., Guisan A., Salamin N., 2011. Spatial predictions of phylogenetic diversity in conservation decision making. Conservation Biology 25(6) pp. 1229-1239. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pradervand J.N., Pellissier L., Rossier L., Dubuis A., Guisan A., Cherix D., 2011. Diversity of bumblebees (Bombus Latreille, Apidae) in the alps of the canton Vaud (Switzerland). Mitteilungen der Schweizerischen Entomologischen Gesellschaft 84(1-2) pp. 45-66.
Vicente J., Randin C.F., Gonçalves J., Metzger M.J., Lomba A., Honrado J., Guisan A., 2011. Where will conflicts between alien and rare species occur after climate and land-use change? A test with a novel combined modelling approach. Biological Invasions 13(5) pp. 1209-1227. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2010
Gomez-Rodriguez C., Guisan A., Diaz-Paniagua C., Bustamante J., 2010. Application of detection probabilities to the design of amphibian monitoring programs in temporary ponds. Annales Zoologici Fennici 47(5) pp. 306-322. [Web of Science]
Le Lay G., Engler R., Franc E., Guisan A., 2010. Prospective sampling based on model ensembles improves the detection of rare species. Ecography 33(6) pp. 1015-1027. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lenoir J., Gégout J.C., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N. E., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Svenning J. C., 2010. Going against the flow: potential mechanisms for unexpected downslope range shifts in a warming climate. Ecography 33(2) pp. 295-303. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lenoir J., Gégout J.C., Guisan A., Vittoz P., Wohlgemuth T., Zimmermann N.E., Dullinger S., Pauli H., Willner W., Grytnes J.A., Virtanen R., Svenning J.C., 2010. Cross-scale analysis of the region effect on vascular plant species diversity in southern and northern European mountain ranges. PLoS One 5(12) pp. e15734. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Lomba A., Pellissier L., Randin C., Vicente J., Moreira F., Honrado J., Guisan A., 2010. Overcoming the rare species modelling paradox: test of a novel hierarchical framework with an Iberian endemic plant. Biological Conservation 143(11) pp. 2647-2657. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Meier E.S., Kienast F., Pearman P.B., Svenning J.-C., Thuiller W., Araújo M.B., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2010. Biotic and abiotic variables show little redundancy in explaining tree species distributions. Ecography 33(6) pp. 1038-1048. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pairon M., Petitpierre B., Campbell M., Guisan A., Broennimann O., Baret P.V., Jacquemart A.L., Besnard G., 2010. Multiple introductions boosted genetic diversity in the invasive range of black cherry (Prunus serotina; Rosaceae). Annals of Botany 105(6) pp. 881-890. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Pellissier L., Bråthen K.A., Pottier J., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Dubuis A., Yoccoz N.G., Alm T., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., 2010. Species distribution models reveal apparent competitive and facilitative effects of a dominant species on the distribution of tundra plants. Ecography 33(6) pp. 1004-1014. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Fournier B., Guisan A., Vittoz P., 2010. Plant traits co-vary with altitude in grasslands and forests in the European Alps. Plant Ecology 211(2) pp. 351-365. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pellissier L., Pottier J., Vittoz P., Dubuis A., Guisan A., 2010. Spatial pattern of floral morphology: a possible insight into the effects of pollinators on plant distribution. Oikos 119(11) pp. 1805-1813. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pio D., 2010. Evolutionary history and its relevance in understanding and conserving southern African biodiversity. 148 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Randin C.F., Engler R., Pearman P.B., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2010. Using georeferenced databases to assess the effect of climate change on alpine plant species and diversity. pp. 149-163 in Spehn E.M., Körner C. (eds.) Data mining for global trends in mountain biodiversity. CRC Press, Boca Raton, USA. [url editor site]
Thuiller W., Albert C.H., Dubuis A., Randin C., Guisan A., 2010. Variation in habitat suitability does not always relate to variation in species' plant functional traits. Biology Letters 6(1) pp. 120-123. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Vittoz P., Bayfield N., Brooker R., Elston D.A., Duff E.I., Theurillat J.-P., Guisan A., 2010. Reproducibility of species lists, visual cover estimates and frequency methods for recording high mountain vegetation. Journal of Vegetation Science 21(6) pp. 1035-1047. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2009
D'Andrea L., Broennimann O., Kozlowski G., Guisan A., Morin X., Keller-Senften J., Felber F., 2009. Climate change, anthropogenic disturbance and the northward range expansion of Lactuca serriola (Asteraceae). Journal of Biogeography 36(8) pp. 1573-1587. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., 2009. Unfolding nature "in silico" : overcoming practical and metodological limitations of species distribution models. 239 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Engler R., Guisan A., 2009. MIGCLIM: Predicting plant distribution and dispersal in a changing climate. Diversity and Distributions 15(4) pp. 590-601. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Engler R., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Czáka T., Beniston M., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., 2009. Predicting future distributions of mountain plants under climate change: does dispersal capacity matter? Ecography 32(1) pp. 34-45. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Fournier B., Pellissier L., Guisan A., Vittoz P., 2009. Morphologie et reproduction des plantes le long de gradients altitudinaux. Bulletin de la Murithienne 127 pp. 45-52.
Hautier Y., Randin C.R., Stöcklin J., Guisan A., 2009. Changes in reproductive investment with altitude in an alpine plant. Journal of Plant Ecology 2(3) pp. 125-134. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Henry P., Le Lay G., Goudet J., Guisan A., Jahodová S., Besnard G., 2009. Reduced genetic diversity, increased isolation and multiple introductions of invasive giant hogweed in the western Swiss Alps. Molecular Ecology 18(13) pp. 2819-2831. [embargo indéterminé] [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Lütolf M., Bolliger J., Guisan A., Kienast F., 2009. Scenario-based assessment of future land use change on butterfly species distributions. Biodiversity and Conservation 18(5) pp. 1329-1345. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lütolf M., Kienast F., Guisan A., 2009. History matters: relating paths and rates of landscape change to butterfly species decline. Environmental Management 43(3) pp. 436-446. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Mathys L., Guisan A., Kellenberger T.W., Zimmermann N.E., 2009. Evaluating effects of spectral training data distribution on continuous field mapping performance. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 64(6) pp. 665-673. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Normand S., Treier U., Randin C.F., Vittoz P., Guisan A., Svenning J.-C., 2009. Importance of abiotic stress as a range-limit determinant for European plants: insights from species' responses to climatic gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18(4) pp. 437-449. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Pauchard A., Kueffer C., Dietz H., Daehler C.C., Alexander J., Edwards P.J., Ramon Arevalo J., Cavieres L.A., Guisan A., Haider S., Jakobs G., McDougall K., Millar C.I., Naylor B.J., Parks C.G., Rew L.J., Seipel T., 2009. Ain't no mountain high enough: plant invasions reaching new elevations. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7(9) pp. 479-486. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Petitpierre B., Pairon M., Broennimann O., Jacquemart A.L., Guisan A., Besnard G., 2009. Plastid DNA variation in Prunus serotina var. serotina (Rosaceae), a North American tree invading Europe. European Journal of Forest Research 128(5) pp. 431-436. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Engler R., Normand S., Zappa M., Zimmermann N.E., Pearman P.B., Vittoz P., Thuiller W., Guisan A., 2009. Climate change and plant distribution: local models predict high-elevation persistence. Global Change Biology 15(6) pp. 1557-1569. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Jaccard H., Vittoz P., Yoccoz N.G., Guisan A., 2009. Land use improves spatial predictions of mountain plant abundance but not presence-absence. Journal of Vegetation Science 20(6) pp. 996-1008. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C.F., Vuissoz G., Liston G., Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2009. Introduction of snow and geomorphic disturbance variables into predictive models of alpine plant distribution in the Western Swiss Alps. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 41(3) pp. 347-361. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Treier U.A., Broennimann O., Normand S., Guisan A., Schaffner U., Steinger T., Müller-Schärer H., 2009. Shift in cytotype frequency and niche space in the invasive plant Centaurea maculosa. Ecology 90(5) pp. 1366-1377. [DOI] [Pubmed]
Vittoz P., Dussex N., Wassef J., Guisan A., 2009. Diaspore traits discriminate good from weak colonisers on high elevation summits. Basic and Applied Ecology 10(6) pp. 508-515. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Zimmermann N.E., Yoccoz N.G., Edwards T.C., Meier E.S., Thuiller W., Guisan A., Schmatz D.R., Pearman P.B., 2009. Climatic extremes improve predictions of spatial patterns of tree species. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106 Suppl 2(Suppl. 2) pp. 19723-19728. [DOI] [Pubmed]
2008
Broennimann O., 2008. Niche, distribution and global change : modeling insights into biogeography and conservation biology Olivier Broennimann. 245 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Broennimann O., Guisan A., 2008. Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biology Letters 4(5) pp. 585-589. [DOI] [Pubmed]
Gehrig-Fasel J., Guisan A., Zimmermann N.E., 2008. Evaluating thermal treeline indicators based on air and soil temperature using an air-to-soil temperature transfer model. Ecological Modelling 213(3-4) pp. 345-355. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Graham C. H., Elith J., Hijmans R., Guisan A., Peterson A. T., Loiselle B. A., NCEAS species distribution modelling group, 2008. Evaluating the influence of spatial uncertainty in locality points for species distributional modeling. Journal of Applied Ecology 45(1) pp. 239-247. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Kuehn I., Sykes M.T., Berry P.M., Thuiller W., Piper J.M., Nigmann U., Araujo M.B., Balletto E., Bonelli S., Cabeza M., Guisan A., Hickler T., Klotz S., Metzger M., Midgley G., Musche M., Olofsson J., Paterson J.S., Penev L., Rickebusch S., Rounsevell M.D.A.R., Schweiger O., Wilson E., Settele J., 2008. MACIS: Minimisation of and adaptation to climate change impacts on Biodiversity. Gaia 17(4) pp. 393 -395. [Web of Science]
Pearman P.B., Guisan A., Broennimann O., Randin C.F., 2008. Niche dynamics in space and time. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 23(3) pp. 149-158. [DOI] [Pubmed]
Pearman P.B., Randin C.F., Broennimann O., Vittoz P., van der Knaap W.O., Engler R., Le Lay G., Zimmermann N.E., Guisan A., 2008. Prediction of plant species distributions across six millennia. Ecology Letters 11(4) pp. 357-369. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Thuiller W., Albert C., Araujo M. B., Berry P. M., Cabeza M., Guisan A., Hickler T., Midgley G. F., Paterson J., Schurr F. M., Sykes M. T., Zimmermann N. E., 2008. Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges. Perspective in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics 9(3-4) pp. 137-152. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Wisz M.S., Hijmans R.J., Li J., Peterson A.T., Graham C.G., Guisan A., NCEAS Species Distribution Modelling Group, 2008. Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Diversity and Distribution 14(5) pp. 763-773. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2007
Alcamo J., Moreno J.M., Nováky B., Bindi M., Corobov R., Devoy R.J.N., Giannakopoulos C., Martin E., Olesen J.E., Shvidenko A., Araujo M.B., Bristow A., de Ronde J., des Clers S., Dlugolecki A., Graham P., Guisan A., Jeppesen E., Kovats S., Lakyda P., Sweeney J., van Minnen J., 2007. Europe. pp. 541-580 in Parry M., Canziani O., Palutikok J., van der Linden P., Hanson C. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. [url editor site]
Becker A., Korner C., Brun J. J., Guisan A., Tappeiner U., 2007. Ecological and land use studies along elevational gradients. Mountain Research and Development 27(1) pp. 58-65. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Botkin D. B., Saxe H., Araujo M. B., Betts R., Bradshaw R. H. W., Cedhagen T., Chesson P., Dawson T. P., Etterson J. R., Faith D. P., Ferrier S., Guisan A., Hansen A. S., Hilbert D. W., Loehle C., Margules C., New M., Sobel M. J., Stockwell D. R. B., 2007. Forecasting the effects of global warming on biodiversity. Bioscience 57(3) pp. 227-236. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Broennimann O., Treier U. A., Muller-Scharer H., Thuiller W., Peterson A. T., Guisan A., 2007. Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. Ecology Letters 10(8) pp. 701-709. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Bugmann H., Gurung A. B., Ewert F., Haeberli W., Guisan A., Fagre D., Kaab A., 2007. Modeling the biophysical impacts of global change in mountain biosphere reserves. Mountain Research and Development 27(1) pp. 66-77. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Fischlin A., Midgley G.F., Price J., Leemans R., Gopal B., Turley C., Rounsevell M.D.A., Tarazona J., Velichko A.A., Atlhopheng J., Beniston M., Bond W.J., Brander K., Bugmann H., Callaghan T.V., de Chazal J., Dikinya O., Guisan A., Gyalistras D., Hughes L., Kgope B.S., Körner C., Lucht W., Lunn N.J., Neilson R.P., Pêcheux M., Thuiller W., Warren R., 2007. Ecosystems, their properties, goods and services. pp. 211-272 in Parry M.L., Canziani O.F., Palutikof J.P., van der Linden P.J., Hanson CE (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. [url editor site]
Gehrig-Fasel J., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Tree line shifts in the Swiss Alps: Climate change or land abandonment? Journal of Vegetation Science 18(4) pp. 571-582. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Gehrig-Fasel J.A., 2007. Treeline and climate change : analyzing and modeling patterns and shifts in the Swiss Alps. 132 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Guisan A., Graham C. H., Elith J., Huettmann F., 2007. Sensitivity of predictive species distribution models to change in grain size. Diversity and Distributions 13(3) pp. 332-340. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Spehn E., Korner C., 2007. MRI newsletter 8: Georeferenced biological databases - A tool for understanding mountain biodiversity. Mountain Research and Development 27(1) pp. 80-81. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Thuiller W., 2007. Erratum. to Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models Vol. 8, Issue 9, 993-1009. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., Elith J., Graham C., Phillips S., Peterson001 A. T., 2007. What matters for predicting spatial distributions of trees: techniques, data, or species' characteristics? Ecological Monographs 77(4) pp. 615-630. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Mathys L., 2007. A discrete forest in a continuous landscape : investigating interactions between natural resource management and sustainable development. 90 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Randin C., 2007. Providing more informative projections of climate change impact on plant distribution in a mountain environment. 252 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Rickebusch S., Gellrich M., Lischke H., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Combining probabilistic land-use change and tree population dynamics modelling to simulate responses in mountain forests. Ecological Modelling 209(2-4) pp. 157-168. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Rickebusch S., Lischke H., Bugmann H., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Understanding the low-temperature limitations to forest growth through calibration of a forest dynamics model with tree-ring data. Forest Ecology and Management 246(2-3) pp. 251-263. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Rutherford G. N., Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2007. Evaluating sampling strategies and logistic regression methods for modelling complex land cover changes. Journal of Applied Ecology 44(2) pp. 414-424. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Vittoz P., Guisan A., 2007. How reliable is the monitoring of permanent vegetation plots? A test with multiple observers. Journal of Vegetation Science 18(3) pp. 413-422. [Document] [DOI] [Web of Science]
2006
Araujo M. B., Guisan A., 2006. Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling. Journal of Biogeography 33(10) pp. 1677-1688. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Broenniman O., Thuiller W., Hughes G., Midgley G. F., Alkemade J. M. R., Guisan A., 2006. Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants' vulnerability to global change? Global Change Biology 12(6) pp. 1079-1093. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Drake J. M., Randin C., Guisan A., 2006. Modelling ecological niches with support vector machines. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(3) pp. 424-432. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Dufour A., 2006. Multiscale assessment of plant diversity in wooded pastures of the Jura mountains. 111 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Buttler A. (dir.).
Dufour A., Gadallah F., Wagner H. H., Guisan A., Buttler A., 2006. Plant species richness and environmental heterogeneity in a mountain landscape: effects of variability and spatial configuration. Ecography 29(4) pp. 573-584. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Elith J., Graham C. H., Anderson R. P., Dudik M., Ferrier S., Guisan A., Hijmans R. J., Huettmann F., Leathwick J. R., Lehmann A., Li J., Lohmann L. G., Loiselle B. A., Manion G., Moritz C., Nakamura M., Nakazawa Y., Overton J. M., Peterson A. T., Phillips S. J., Richardson K., Scachetti-Pereira R., Schapire R. E., Soberon J., Williams S., Wisz M. S., Zimmermann N. E., 2006. Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29(2) pp. 129-151. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Ferrier S., Guisan A., 2006. Spatial modelling of biodiversity at the community level. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(3) pp. 393-404. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Broennimann O., Engler R., Vust M., Yoccoz N. G., Lehmann A., Zimmermann N. E., 2006. Using niche-based models to improve the sampling of rare species. Conservation Biology 20(2) pp. 501-11. [DOI] [Web of Science] [Pubmed]
Guisan A., Lehmann A., Ferrier S., Austin M., Overton J. M. C., Aspinall R., Hastie T., 2006. Making better biogeographical predictions of species' distributions. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(3) pp. 386-392. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Hirzel A.H., Le Lay G., Helfer V., Randin C., Guisan A., 2006. Evaluating the ability of habitat suitability models to predict species presences. Ecological Modelling. 199(1) pp. 142-152. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lütolf M., 2006. Changing landscapes of Switzerland: assessing effects of historic and future land uses and land covers on the occurrence of selected butterfly species. 126 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan D. (dir.).
Lutolf M., Kienast F., Guisan A., 2006. The ghost of past species occurrence: improving species distribution models for presence-only data. Journal of Applied Ecology 43(4) pp. 802-815. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maggini R., Lehmann A., Zimmermann N. E., Guisan A., 2006. Improving generalized regression analysis for the spatial prediction of forest communities. Journal of Biogeography 33(10) pp. 1729-1749. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Randin C. F., Dirnbock T., Dullinger S., Zimmermann N. E., Zappa M., Guisan A., 2006. Are niche-based species distribution models transferable in space? Journal of Biogeography 33(10) pp. 1689-1703. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Rickebusch S., 2006. Modelling tree population dynamics at the alpine and boreal tree-line ecotones in response to climate and land-use change. 126 p., Université de Lausanne, Faculté de biologie et médecine, Guisan A. (dir.).
Vittoz P., Jutzeler S., Guisan A., 2006. Flore alpine et réchauffement climatique: observation de trois sommets valaisans à travers le XXe siècle. Bulletlin de la Murithienne 123 pp. 49-59. [Document]
2005
Broennimann O., Vittoz P., Moser D., Guisan A., 2005. Rarity types among plant species with high conservation priority in Switzerland. Botanica Helvetica 115(2) pp. 95-108. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., 2005. Monitoring networks for testing model-based scenarios of climate change impact on mountain plant distribution. pp. 467-476 in Huber U.M., Bugmann H.K.M., Reasoner M.A. (eds.) Global change and mountain regions. Advances in Global Change Research 23. Springer, Dordrecht. [DOI]
Guisan A., Thuiller W., 2005. Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters 8(9) pp. 993-1009. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2004
Engler R., Guisan A., Rechsteiner L., 2004. An improved approach for predicting the distribution of rare and endangered species from occurrence and pseudo-absence data. Journal of Applied Ecology 41(2) pp. 263-274. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2003
Guisan A., Hofer U., 2003. Predicting reptile distributions at the mesoscale: relation to climate and topography. Journal of Biogeography 30(8) pp. 1233-1243. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Theurillat J. P., Schlüssel A., Geissler P., Guisan A., Velluti C., Wiget L., 2003. Plant and Bryophyte Diversity Along Elevational Gradients in the Alps. in Nagy L., Grabherr G., Koerner C., Thompson D. B. A (eds.) Alpine biodiversity in Europe. Ecological Studies 167. Springer, Berlin.
2002
Guisan A., 2002. Semi-quantitative response models for predicting the spatial distribution of plant species. pp. 315-326 in Predicting species occurrences: issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, Covelo, California, Scott, J.M. Heglund, P.J. Haufler, J.B. Morrison, M. Raphael, M.G. Wall, W.B. Samson, F..
Guisan A., Edwards T. C., Hastie T., 2002. Generalized linear and generalized additive models in studies of species distributions: setting the scene. Ecological Modelling 157(2-3) pp. 89-100. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Hofer U., Monney J. C., Dusej G. (eds.) Guisan A., Hofer U., 2002. Modélisation du domaine de distribution potentielle des espèces.Birkhäuser Verlag.
Hirzel A., Guisan A., 2002. Which is the optimal sampling strategy for habitat suitability modelling. Ecological Modelling 157(2-3) pp. 331-341. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Maggini R., Guisan A., Cherix D., 2002. A stratified approach for modeling the distribution of a threatened ant species in the Swiss National Park. Biodiversity and Conservation 11(12) pp. 2117-2141. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2001
Cherix D., Maggini R., Guisan A., Schneider M.-A., Gonseth Y., 2001. Echantilloner oui mais comment? Faune sauvage et convention alpine. Deuxième Conférence Internationale des Espaces Protégés Alpins. Actes du Réseau Alpin 1. Aosta Italia 1-2 octobre 1998. 7646 pp. 101-102.
Freitag A., Guisan A., Cherix D., 2001. Application d 'un échantillonnage aléatoire stratifié pour l 'étude de la distribution des fourmis des bois. Actes des Colloques Insectes Sociaux 14 pp. 27-31.
Guisan A., Hofer U., 2001. Modélisation du domaine de distribution potentielle des espèces. pp. 183-189 in Hofer U., Monney J.-C., Dusej G. (eds.) Les reptiles de Suisse : répartition, habitats, protection. Birkhäuser, Basel.
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., 2001. Assessing alpine plant vulnerability to climate change: A modeling perspective. Integrated Assessment 1(4) pp. 307-320. [DOI]
Jaberg C., Guisan A., 2001. Modelling the distribution of bats in relation to landscape structure in a temperate mountain environment. Journal of Applied Ecology 38(6) pp. 1169-1181. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Theurillat J. P., Guisan A., 2001. Potential impact of climate change on vegetation in the European Alps: a review. Climatic Change 50(1-2) pp. 77-109. [DOI] [Web of Science]
2000
Guisan A., Harrell F. E., 2000. Ordinal response regression models in ecology. Journal of Vegetation Science 11(5) pp. 617-626. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., 2000. Equilibrium modeling of alpine plant distribution: how far can we go? Phytocoenologia 30(3-4) pp. 353-384. [Web of Science]
Guisan A., Zimmermann N. E., 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecological Modelling 135(2-3) pp. 147-186. [DOI] [Web of Science]
1999
Guisan A., Weiss S. B., Weiss A. D., 1999. GLM versus CCA spatial modeling of plant species distribution. Plant Ecology 143(1) pp. 107-122. [DOI] [Web of Science]
1998
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., Kienast F., 1998. Predicting the potential distribution of plant species in an Alpine environment. Journal of Vegetation Science 9(1) pp. 65-74. [DOI] [Web of Science]
Lischke H., Guisan A., Fischlin A., Bugman H., 1998. Vegetation responses to climate change in the Alps: Modelling studies. pp. 309-350 in Cebon P., et al. (eds.) Views from the Alps: regional perspectives on climate change. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
1996
Beniston M., Fox D. G., Adhikary S., Andressen R., Guisan A., Holten J. I., Innes J., Maitima J., Price M. F., Tessier L., 1996. Impacts of climate change on mountain regions. Intergovernmental panel on climate change. Second assessment report.
1995
Guisan A., Spichiger R.E., Holten J.I., Tessier L. (eds.) 1995. Potential Ecological Impacts of Climate Change in the Alps and Fennoscandian Mountains.Conservatoire et jardin botaniques.
Aeschimann D., Guisan A., 1995. Introduction to the Alps. pp. 81-85 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Guisan A., Holten J. I., 1995. Impacts of climate change on mountain ecosystems: future research and monitoring needs. pp. 179-184 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Guisan A., Tessier L., Holten J., Haeberli W., Baumgartner M., 1995. Understanding the impact of climate change on mountain ecosystems: an overview. pp. 15-37 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.
Guisan A., Theurillat J. P., Spichiger R., 1995. Effects of climate change on alpine plant diversity and distribution: the modelling and monitoring perspectives. pp. 129-135 in Guisan A., et al. (eds.) Potential ecological impacts of climate changes in the Alps and Fennoscandian mountains. Conservatoire et Jardin Botaniques, Genève.

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